Analystz.com
Callable Bull Bear Contracts Analysis
| 3Q Ahead GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| 新屋銷售 New Home Sales |
0.594 | 355 | 200911 | -11.25 | -12.99 | -8.97 |  |
| 2Q Ahead GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| 新屋動工 Housing Starts |
0.603 | 574 | 200911 | 8.92 | -1.20 | -12.37 | |
| 建築批則 Building Permits |
0.603 | 589 | 200911 | 6.90 | 1.55 | -6.51 | |
| 1Q Ahead GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| ISM 非製造業指數 ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Survey (NMI) |
0.777 | 55.4 | 201003 | 4.53 | 11.24 | 35.78 | |
| 領先指標 Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) |
0.788 | 104.9 | 200911 | 0.87 | 2.34 | 5.96 | |
| 密歇根大學消費情緒 Survey of Consumer Sentiment (University of Michigan) |
0.55 | 72.5 | 200912 | 7.57 | -1.36 | 20.63 | |
| In phase with GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| 芝加哥採購經理 Chicago Purchasing Managers Index |
0.769 | 60 | 200912 | 6.95 | 30.15 | 70.94 | |
| ISM 製造業指數 ISM Manufacturing Survey |
0.694 | 55.9 | 200912 | 4.29 | 6.27 | 69.91 | |
| 新屋價格 New Home Prices |
0.415 | 217400 | 200911 | 3.82 | 4.97 | -1.90 | |
| 耐用品訂單 Durable Goods Orders |
0.744 | 352889 | 200908 | -0.80 | 1.52 | -20.38 | |
| 零售銷售 Retail Sales |
0.614 | 352073 | 200911 | 1.29 | 0.36 | 1.26 | |
| 1Q Behind GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| 會議局消費信心 Consumer Confidence Index (Conference Board) |
0.509 | 47.7 | 200910 | -10.17 | 0.63 | 25.53 | |
| 非農就業職位 Nonfarm payroll employment |
0.869 | 130947 | 200909 | -0.20 | -0.58 | -4.23 | |
| 2Q Behind GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| 失業率 Unemployment Rate |
0.463 | 9.8 | 200909 | 1.03 | 3.16 | 58.06 | |
| 3Q Behind GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| 設備使用率 Capacity Utilization |
0.596 | 70.5 | 200909 | 0.86 | 3.22 | -5.37 | |
| 4Q Behind GDP | |||||||
| Indicator | Correlation* | Current | Last Updated (yyyymm) |
1mth Chg (%) | 3mth Chg (%) | 12mth Chg (%) | |
| ＡＢＣ消費信心 ABC News Consumer Comfort Index |
0.625 | -46 | 200909 | 2.22 | -9.80 | 12.20 | |
| 消費物價 Consumer Price Index (CPI) |
0.043 | 215.969 | 200909 | 0.06 | 0.13 | -1.29 | |
